š Apple: Always do what Wall Street does, not what it says
Jan 02, 2024Good morning and Happy New Year ā I am thrilled youāre here! š
One of the things I like most about modern financial markets is that there is always a way into the fight ā meaning that there is plenty of profit potential up for grabs.
Especially on days like today!
Hereās my playbook.
1 ā Pull back ā schmullback
In one of my final missives of 2023, I told you to get ready for some shenanigans.
Traders āhave a lot of money on the tableā I said, and it would be just like the merry marauders to orchestrate a rug pull when skittish individual investors least expect it.
Looks like today is the day.
Why do they do this?
Simple.
Wall Street has spent billions learning how to push your buttons. They know that the more off-center you are, the easier it is to separate you from your money.
Take a deep breath.
Donāt play their games.
Play yours.
MyPOV: There may be $5-8T or more on the sidelines as everyone who exited last year in search of āsafetyā and 5% now realizes theyāve given up hundreds of percent. I donāt expect the selling to last long. And, if it does, so what. Buying great companies at a discount never gets old!
2 ā Bitcoin tops $45,000
Digital currency is inevitable and Iām a huge fan as it climbs back to a 21-month peak. (Read)
The question investors need to ask themselves if theyāre going to play along, is whether or not the risks are worth it.
Sure, you can make some money if Bitcoin et al charges higher (and it probably will) as cryptocurrency ETFs come on the scene, but at what cost? And at what risk?
Mark my words, the ONLY reason Wall Street is suddenly so interested in crypto is because theyāve figured out how to rig the game against individual investors, many of whom lack the nerves and the wallet needed to stomach the inevitable increase in volatility thatās ahead.
Donāt think for a freakinā minute that youāre going to have the upper hand on any of the crypto ETFs when they arrive. If Wall Street made little or no money by offering such things, why would they suddenly be pushing so hard to approve āem.
Think about it.
Personally, Iād rather be farther up the food chain and own the banks warming up digital clearing because I get a) big upside, b) less volatility and c) a dividend that pays me for the risk I take as an investor.
Thatās just me.
Meanwhile, my hatās off to every cryptoratti on board! šÆ
3 ā Apple to Barclays: pfffft!
This is as predictable as watching the grass grow.
Barclayās downgraded Apple this morning and the stockās taking a tumble. (Read)
If Iāve said it once, Iāll say it 1,000 timesā¦ the last thing you want to do is pay attention to Wall Street analysts on stuff like this.
ā¦Wall Streetās best traders donāt.
ā¦Warren Buffett doesnāt.
ā¦Ray Dalio doesnāt.
Why should you?
Not to be in firm command of the obvious, but jeez-Louise.
Apple has more than 2B devices installed worldwide, the companyās services business has more than 1B paying subscribers, double digit growth, the ability to change consumer behavior and add billions to the top line at the touch of a button. The ROE (Return on Equity) is 55% and the gross profit is nearly 40%. Apple makes nearly $2,000 a second.
This isnāt a company thatās in trouble.
MyPOV: One of the worst mistakes you can make as an investor is to look a gift horse in the mouth. Apple has returned 390.34% over the past 5 years while the S&P 500 has turned in 91.89% according to Koyfin. Buying a few extra shares today to take advantage of the dip makes all the sense in the world if you can. Or Sell Cash Secured Puts as a way to generate income AND get paid while you shop for much lower prices. Heck, even a plain olā LowBall Order would work, too.
BTW, if you donāt know what these things are and would like to learn, Iāll be rolling out educational modules later this year for the One Bar AheadĀ® Family if youād like to learn more about how to do it right. I will also be speaking/teaching at the upcoming Las Vegas MoneyShow in February.
4 ā Tesla breaks another record; sticks it to naysayers (again)
Love him or hate him, Musk knows how to get schtuff done.
Teslaās latest delivery figures are out and Unka Elon has broken another record. This time around, Tesla released its latest delivery and production results confirming another record with 495,000 vehicles produced and 484,000 delivered. (Read)
I still want a Cybertruck!
And, not for nothing, I hope Iām smart enough to buy more shares.
5 ā Yes, itās still the ābuy of the decadeā
I had an engaging wide-ranging discussion with the fabulous folks at Dubaieye on New Yearās Day and thought you might enjoy it. And yes, I still think one of the most hated stocks on Wall Street could be the ābuy of the decadeā at these levels. (Watch)
Bottom Line
Like many, I would just as soon have seen green right outta the gate this morning, but all the selling doesnāt bother me. History shows very clearly that itās almost always an opportunity.
Which brings me to the first key takeaway I want you to focus on this year.
The sooner you learn to recognize that fear is a travelling companion, the sooner you can view it as an opportunity.
As always, letās MAKE it a great day and a fabulous year ā you got this!
Keith š
PS: Thanks to everyone for the many emails, messages, and callsā¦ our family is fine in Kyoto after the earthquake this past weekend. Please take a moment to send prayers, thoughts, and strength to those who have had their lives upended.